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Liudmila Samsonova vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Samsonova vs Sabalenka analysis and find out who is favored!
Liudmila Samsonova vs Aryna Sabalenka Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Samsonova 2 - 1 Sabalenka
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Samsonova has won 43.06% of points on his second serve, while Sabalenka has won 49.07%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Samsonova, in recent form, has won 52.48% of his opponent's second serve points, while Sabalenka has won 55.74%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.2% and 36.67% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Samsonova has saved 52.59% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sabalenka has saved 60.42% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Samsonova has won 53.85% of matches played (W/L 28/ 24), with Sabalenka winning 76.12% (W/L 51/ 16) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Samsonova has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 37/ 19), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 118/ 85). Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 79/ 46).
- Player level: In the last year, Samsonova has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 56.52% of matches (W/L 13/ 10), where as Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 68.75% of matches (W/L 22/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Samsonova winning 2 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Samsonova winning 4 and Sabalenka winning 4. The last match between Samsonova and Sabalenka was at the Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal, 11-08-2023, Third, Hard with Liudmila Samsonova getting the victory 7-6(2) 4-6 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:28:24.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Samsonova and Sabalenka have played a deciding set 2 times, with Samsonova winning 2 times and Sabalenka 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Samsonova winning 1, and Sabalenka 2.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Samsonova has played against opponents with an average rank of 109.98 while Sabalenka has played against players with an average rank of 67.88.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Samsonova has won 44% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sabalenka has won 52% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Samsonova has converted 40.87% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sabalenka has converted 45.99% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Samsonova 2 - 1 Sabalenka
17
Rank
12
High
25
Age
R
Plays
2
Total1
2
Hard1
0
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
2
Rank
1
High
26
Age
R
Plays
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
Form
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
61% (290-184)
Career Total W/L
68% (393-182)
31% (5-11)
YTD W/L
78% (25-7)
$3,684,727
Career Prize Money
$19,774,224
0
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Liudmila Samsonova | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Sets Won | 4 | 4 |
| Games Won | 43 | 41 |
| Aces (Total) | 21 | 30 |
| DFs (Total) | 20 | 28 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:28:24 | 2:28:24 |
| 1st Serve % | 49% (149/303) | 64% (175/273) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 73% (109/149) | 68% (119/175) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 49% (75/154) | 48% (47/98) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 39% (9/23) | 26% (8/31) |
| Return Points W% | 39% (107/273) | 39% (119/303) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 67% (2/3) | 33% (1/3) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 33% (1/3) | 67% (2/3) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (2/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (2/0) | 0% (1/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (1/0) | 0% (2/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-6(2) 4-6 6-3 |
Stats 
Liudmila Samsonova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
48%
(
59 of
124)
1st Serve %
57%
(
56 of
99)
8
Aces
13
9
Double Faults
11
78%
(
46 of
59)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
44 of
56)
49%
(
32 of
65)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
18 of
43)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
15%
(
2 of
13)
37%
(
46 of
124)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
37 of
99)
115
Total Points Won
108
|
||||
| 7-6(8) 7-6(3) |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
71%
(
68 of
96)
1st Serve %
59%
(
51 of
86)
11
Aces
8
6
Double Faults
4
62%
(
42 of
68)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
36 of
51)
61%
(
17 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
16 of
35)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
39%
(
37 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
34 of
86)
93
Total Points Won
89
|
||||
| 6-4 2-6 6-2 |
Stats
Liudmila Samsonova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
42%
(
39 of
93)
1st Serve %
65%
(
51 of
78)
5
Aces
6
7
Double Faults
11
69%
(
27 of
39)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
33 of
51)
50%
(
27 of
54)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
12 of
27)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
27%
(
3 of
11)
42%
(
39 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
33 of
78)
87
Total Points Won
84
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Liudmila Samsonova | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 31% (5/11) | 78% (25/7) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 38% (14/23) | 71% (54/22) |
| Games Win/Loss | 45% (155/189) | 58% (408/298) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 33% (4/8) | 78% (14/4) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 25% (1/3) | 79% (11/3) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| Aces Total | 76 | 152 |
| DFs per game | 0.51 | 0.29 |
| DFs Total | 86 | 100 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:43:23 | 1:43:26 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 101.06 | 74.13 |
| 1st Serve % | 49% (538/1093) | 64% (1434/2241) |
| 1st Serve W% | 70% (378/538) | 71% (1018/1434) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 43% (239/555) | 49% (396/807) |
| BPs Won% Total | 41% (47/115) | 46% (126/274) |
| Return Pts W% | 41% (449/1097) | 44% (1018/2305) |
| Slam W/L | 0% (0/1) | 100% (7/0) |
| Masters W/L | 25% (2/6) | 72% (13/5) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 43% (3/4) | 71% (5/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 31% (5/16) | 77% (24/31) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 67% (2/3) | 67% (6/9) |
| Deciding Set W% | 20% (1/5) | 58% (7/12) |
| 1st set W, W | 83% (6/5) | 86% (22/19) |
| 1st set W, L | 17% (6/1) | 9% (22/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (10/0) | 50% (10/5) |
Liudmila Samsonova Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Diana Shnaider
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
67%
(
30 of
45)
1st Serve %
39%
(
24 of
62)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
9
63%
(
19 of
30)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
15 of
24)
53%
(
8 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
26%
(
10 of
38)
43%
(
6 of
14)
Break Points Won
100%
(
2 of
2)
40%
(
18 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
60%
(
37 of
62)
64
Total Points Won
43
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 | bye | H2H | |||
| R3 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
70%
(
37 of
53)
1st Serve %
65%
(
37 of
57)
7
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
2
78%
(
29 of
37)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
24 of
37)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
5 of
20)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
28%
(
15 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
28 of
57)
66
Total Points Won
44
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Liudmila Samsonova
Player
Naomi Osaka
53%
(
48 of
90)
1st Serve %
55%
(
52 of
95)
4
Aces
7
6
Double Faults
5
77%
(
37 of
48)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
36 of
52)
48%
(
20 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
14 of
43)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
37%
(
33 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
45 of
95)
102
Total Points Won
83
|
6-2 4-6 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Anastasia Potapova
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
55%
(
51 of
93)
1st Serve %
45%
(
46 of
102)
5
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
4
73%
(
37 of
51)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
33 of
46)
40%
(
17 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
23 of
56)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
42%
(
5 of
12)
42%
(
39 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
46 of
102)
100
Total Points Won
95
|
6-4 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
73%
(
61 of
83)
1st Serve %
46%
(
38 of
82)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
8
66%
(
40 of
61)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
24 of
38)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
18 of
44)
43%
(
6 of
14)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
40%
(
33 of
83)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
40 of
82)
90
Total Points Won
75
|
6-1 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Naomi Osaka
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
47%
(
32 of
68)
1st Serve %
48%
(
30 of
63)
4
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
6
66%
(
21 of
32)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
67%
(
24 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
17 of
33)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
34%
(
23 of
68)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
63)
71
Total Points Won
60
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Marketa Vondrousova
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
69%
(
36 of
52)
1st Serve %
40%
(
19 of
48)
1
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
75%
(
27 of
36)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
11 of
19)
44%
(
7 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
35%
(
18 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
25 of
48)
59
Total Points Won
41
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 | w/o | H2H | |||
| R1 |
Stats
Liudmila Samsonova
Player
Viktoriya Tomova
52%
(
37 of
71)
1st Serve %
72%
(
52 of
72)
13
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
1
84%
(
31 of
37)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
30 of
52)
53%
(
18 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
65%
(
13 of
20)
25%
(
2 of
8)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
31%
(
22 of
71)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
29 of
72)
78
Total Points Won
65
|
7-6(2) 6-3 | H2H | ||
view more
Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54%
(
31 of
57)
1st Serve %
59%
(
32 of
54)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
74%
(
23 of
31)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
18 of
32)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
32%
(
18 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
27 of
54)
66
Total Points Won
45
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
60%
(
35 of
58)
1st Serve %
53%
(
33 of
62)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
22 of
33)
57%
(
13 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
33%
(
19 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
28 of
62)
67
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76%
(
37 of
49)
1st Serve %
73%
(
46 of
63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
50%
(
6 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
27%
(
13 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
63)
62
Total Points Won
50
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elina Svitolina
72%
(
85 of
118)
1st Serve %
52%
(
44 of
85)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
58%
(
49 of
85)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
29 of
44)
48%
(
16 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
15 of
41)
86%
(
6 of
7)
Break Points Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
45%
(
53 of
118)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
41 of
85)
106
Total Points Won
97
|
4-6 6-1 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Dayana Yastremska
66%
(
33 of
50)
1st Serve %
60%
(
42 of
70)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
4
76%
(
25 of
33)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
26 of
42)
76%
(
13 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
24%
(
12 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
30 of
70)
68
Total Points Won
52
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Katie Volynets
69%
(
68 of
98)
1st Serve %
78%
(
73 of
94)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
3
63%
(
43 of
68)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
37 of
73)
40%
(
12 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
9 of
21)
54%
(
7 of
13)
Break Points Won
31%
(
5 of
16)
44%
(
43 of
98)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
48 of
94)
103
Total Points Won
89
|
4-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 | bye | H2H | |||
| F |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
58%
(
68 of
118)
2
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
4
67%
(
52 of
78)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
46 of
68)
51%
(
21 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
24 of
50)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
38%
(
5 of
13)
39%
(
46 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
48 of
118)
121
Total Points Won
116
|
7-5 4-6 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
64%
(
56 of
88)
1st Serve %
61%
(
65 of
106)
4
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
3
77%
(
43 of
56)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
46 of
65)
50%
(
16 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
24 of
41)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
33%
(
29 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
36 of
106)
95
Total Points Won
99
|
1-6 7-5 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Mirra Andreeva
65%
(
34 of
52)
1st Serve %
53%
(
31 of
58)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
20 of
31)
61%
(
11 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
27%
(
14 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
27 of
58)
65
Total Points Won
45
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
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